March 15, 2025

Special Report: Tariff Wars-America's Economic Chess Game

Special Report: Tariff Wars-America's Economic Chess Game

Special Report: Tariff Wars-America's Economic Chess Game

In Depth You Need to Know Report on Tariffs highlighting the Winners and Losers.   Special Thank you for the in-depth reporting provided by The NY Post. Link below for their coverage. 

The global economic landscape is shifting dramatically as President Trump imposes sweeping tariffs on Canada, Mexico, China, and the European Union, creating clear winners and losers across multiple sectors. These aggressive trade measures are designed to bring trading partners to the negotiating table while boosting domestic manufacturing, despite causing significant market volatility and industry disruption.

• 25% tariffs on most imports from Canada and Mexico, with 10% on energy and fertilizer products
• China facing a flat 20% tariff across all imported goods
• European wines and spirits hit with a potential 200% tariff in response to EU's 50% tax on American whiskey
• Domestic steel and aluminum sector seeing record price increases and production growth
• Companies with American-centric supply chains thriving amid the trade uncertainty
• Precious metals reaching historic highs with gold breaking $3,000 per ounce
• Automotive and tech sectors suffering significant losses with Tesla down 36%
• Administration viewing market volatility as necessary for long-term economic gains
• Stock market experiencing substantial drops with Nasdaq down nearly 12% in a month 


Source Credits:


 

https://nypost.com/2025/03/14/business/trump-tariff-battle-with-canada-mexico-china-and-europe-points-to-early-winners-losers/ 

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Chapters

00:00 - Tariff Throwdown Introduction

01:05 - Global Tariff Breakdown

02:53 - Winners in the Economic Shakeup

05:17 - Product Fury Sponsor Segment

06:29 - European Wine Panic Buying

08:32 - Casualties of the Trade War

10:51 - Administration's Long Game Strategy

13:09 - Episode Wrap-Up and Contact Info

Transcript
WEBVTT

00:00:01.887 --> 00:00:13.106
Hello America, this is JOC and you're locked into a special weekend edition of Ranting Politics Headline Updates where today we're diving deep into the tariff throwdown that's got everyone from Wall Street to Main Street talking.

00:00:13.106 --> 00:00:22.710
President Trump has just unleashed a massive economic chess game, slapping tariffs on pretty much everyone—Canada, mexico, china and the European Union.

00:00:22.710 --> 00:00:26.530
We're talking steel, aluminum, wine and everything in between.

00:00:26.530 --> 00:00:34.241
Some folks are popping champagne while others are watching their profits disappear faster than a politician's promises Coming up.

00:00:34.241 --> 00:00:41.811
We'll break down who's winning, who's losing and why you might want to stock up on that fancy French wine before prices go through the roof.

00:00:41.811 --> 00:00:49.103
Stay with us as we untangle this global economic cage match on this special weekend edition right here on Ranting Politics.

00:01:05.734 --> 00:01:16.989
In what's shaping up to be the biggest trade shakeup since the 1980s, president Trump has unleashed a sweeping array of tariffs that's fundamentally reshaping global trade dynamics.

00:01:16.989 --> 00:01:20.743
Let's break down exactly what we're dealing with here, because these numbers are pretty jaw-dropping.

00:01:20.743 --> 00:01:32.322
First up, most imports from our neighbors Canada and Mexico are getting slapped with a hefty 25% tariff, though there's a bit of wiggle room with a lower 10% rate for energy and fertilizer products.

00:01:32.322 --> 00:01:33.385
And get this.

00:01:33.385 --> 00:01:39.567
There's actually a grace period for items that play nice with the USMCA trade treaty, so at least there's that silver lining.

00:01:39.567 --> 00:01:45.730
When it comes to China, trump's gone with a flat 20% levy across the board on imported goods.

00:01:45.730 --> 00:01:50.912
Now, according to sources at the New York Post, this isn't just about numbers on a spreadsheet.

00:01:50.912 --> 00:01:54.700
It's basically forcing everyone to come back to the negotiating table.

00:01:54.700 --> 00:01:56.927
But here's where things get really spicy.

00:01:56.927 --> 00:02:04.914
The European Union is facing what could be a whopping 200% tariff on wines, champagne and other alcoholic beverages.

00:02:04.914 --> 00:02:06.805
Why such a massive number?

00:02:06.805 --> 00:02:11.632
Well, it's actually a response to the EU's own 50% tariff on American whiskey.

00:02:11.632 --> 00:02:13.385
Talk about escalation.

00:02:14.139 --> 00:02:18.151
The scale of these tariffs is already sending shockwaves through the global economy.

00:02:18.151 --> 00:02:23.205
We're seeing retaliatory measures pop up faster than political scandals in an election year.

00:02:23.205 --> 00:02:24.847
Measures pop up faster than political scandals in an election year.

00:02:24.847 --> 00:02:32.735
Canada, for instance, has already fired back with their own tariffs on $21 billion worth of American goods, and they're not pulling any punches.

00:02:32.735 --> 00:02:39.084
Everything from farm products to good old American whiskey is in their crosshairs.

00:02:39.084 --> 00:02:47.388
When you look at the big picture, what we're really seeing is a massive restructuring of global trade relationships with the US, basically forcing everyone to rethink their trading positions.

00:02:47.388 --> 00:02:53.067
Whether this high-stakes game of economic chicken will pay off, well, that's what we're all waiting to find out.

00:02:53.609 --> 00:02:57.086
Let's dive into who's coming out ahead in this economic shakeup and folks.

00:02:57.086 --> 00:02:59.472
There are some clear winners emerging from the chaos.

00:02:59.472 --> 00:03:03.544
The domestic steel and aluminum sector is absolutely crushing it right now.

00:03:03.544 --> 00:03:05.104
The domestic steel and aluminum sector is absolutely crushing it right now.

00:03:05.104 --> 00:03:08.889
Hot-rolled coil steel prices have shot up to $945 per short ton.

00:03:08.889 --> 00:03:11.912
That's the highest we've seen since early 2024.

00:03:11.912 --> 00:03:22.086
And aluminum, we're talking about a record surge of 45 cents per pound, pushing prices north of $990 per metric ton.

00:03:22.086 --> 00:03:25.801
Us steel and Cleveland cliffs are riding this wave like pros and Century Aluminum.

00:03:25.801 --> 00:03:31.514
America's biggest primary aluminum producer is practically doing backflips over these tariffs.

00:03:31.514 --> 00:03:37.492
They're calling it a renaissance for domestic aluminum production and, looking at these numbers, it's hard to disagree.

00:03:38.180 --> 00:03:39.346
But here's where it gets interesting.

00:03:39.346 --> 00:03:43.631
The beer industry of all places is showing us how to play this game smart.

00:03:43.631 --> 00:03:45.866
Take Anheuser-Busch, for instance.

00:03:45.866 --> 00:03:58.044
Their stock has rocketed up 24% this year alone, and there's a good reason why They've got 99% of their beer brewed right here in the States using ingredients from American farmers.

00:03:58.044 --> 00:04:01.346
Talk about having your supply chain ducks in a row.

00:04:01.346 --> 00:04:07.747
Now let me tell you about an unexpected winner Warehouse space owners.

00:04:07.747 --> 00:04:21.266
Scott Lincecum, over at the Cato Institute, points out that everyone from builders to automakers is stockpiling like they're preparing for the apocalypse, making warehouse space more valuable than beachfront property in Miami.

00:04:21.266 --> 00:04:23.557
The tech sector's got some winners, too.

00:04:23.557 --> 00:04:33.105
Companies like IBM, oracle, microsoft, salesforce and especially Palantir are sitting pretty because they're largely insulated from these tariffs.

00:04:33.970 --> 00:04:36.576
And speaking of winning streaks, precious metals are having a moment.

00:04:36.576 --> 00:04:40.451
Gold just broke $3,000 per ounce for the first time ever.

00:04:40.451 --> 00:04:43.115
That's a 13% jump since January.

00:04:43.115 --> 00:04:47.764
Silver's not far behind, up 14% to $34 per ounce.

00:04:47.764 --> 00:04:56.882
This reshuffling of the economic deck is creating some fascinating opportunities for companies that were already positioning themselves for a more America-first market.

00:04:56.882 --> 00:05:04.379
It's like watching a high-stakes poker game where having the right cards, or, in this case, the right business model, makes all the difference.

00:05:04.379 --> 00:05:09.220
Coming up, we'll toast to those California Cabernets.

00:05:09.220 --> 00:05:11.329
Hey, it's the weekend, what can we say?

00:05:11.329 --> 00:05:17.399
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00:06:29.110 --> 00:06:35.704
Now let's talk about what's happening with European wines, because this might be the most dramatic episode in our ongoing tariff saga.

00:06:35.704 --> 00:06:44.940
Trump's threatening to slap a whopping 200% tariff on European wines and spirits and let me tell you, it's causing absolute chaos in the wine world.

00:06:44.940 --> 00:06:48.158
This isn't just about your average bottle of table wine.

00:06:48.158 --> 00:06:52.370
We're talking champagne, bordeaux, burgundy, the whole nine yards.

00:06:52.370 --> 00:06:55.579
The response from wine lovers pure panic.

00:06:55.579 --> 00:06:59.800
Just ask Daniel Posner from Grapes, the Wine Company in White Plains.

00:06:59.800 --> 00:07:06.221
As reported by the New York Post, he's watching his inventory fly off the shelves faster than free samples at Costco.

00:07:06.221 --> 00:07:09.779
His daily email blasts are causing a feeding frenzy.

00:07:09.779 --> 00:07:11.677
Everything's selling out within an hour.

00:07:11.677 --> 00:07:14.740
Let me put these price hikes in perspective for you.

00:07:14.740 --> 00:07:21.459
That lovely 2016 Chateau Rosan, segla, margot, sitting at $109 today.

00:07:21.459 --> 00:07:25.600
Get ready to shell out $375 after these tariffs hit.

00:07:25.600 --> 00:07:33.776
And if you're eyeing that 2022 Chateau Smith, haute Lafite, pessac, leonien at $159, you might want to sit down.

00:07:33.776 --> 00:07:36.473
It's going to jump to $447.

00:07:36.473 --> 00:07:38.357
These aren't typos, folks.

00:07:38.357 --> 00:07:41.543
This is what a 200% tariff looks like in your wine.

00:07:41.543 --> 00:07:41.884
Cellar.

00:07:41.884 --> 00:07:46.800
Posner's seeing order numbers that are blowing past his wildest expectations.

00:07:46.800 --> 00:07:59.103
He planned for 30 to 40 bottles of that 2022 vintage to move, but got swamped with 60 orders instead His team's scrambling like they're on a reality show, trying to track down more bottles.

00:07:59.103 --> 00:08:04.579
This is what happens when you tell wine enthusiasts their favorite Bordeaux is about to triple in price.

00:08:04.579 --> 00:08:07.454
They don't walk to the wine shop, they run.

00:08:07.454 --> 00:08:19.620
And just to add some context here, this whole wine war kicked off because the EU slapped a 50% tariff on American whiskey, so naturally the response was to go nuclear with a 200% counter tariff.

00:08:19.620 --> 00:08:25.983
It's like bringing a howitzer to a knife fight, and the collateral damage is going to be felt in wine cellars across America.

00:08:25.983 --> 00:08:32.197
Let's dive into the real casualties of this trade war, and believe me, there are plenty.

00:08:32.890 --> 00:08:35.976
The automotive sector is taking body blows from every direction.

00:08:35.976 --> 00:08:43.417
Tesla, america's electric vehicle darling, has already seen its stock nosedive by 36% since January.

00:08:43.417 --> 00:08:45.881
And it's not just Tesla feeling the pain.

00:08:45.881 --> 00:08:55.697
Gm, Ford and Stellantis are caught in what analysts are calling the eye of the storm, with tariffs hitting them from Canada, mexico and China all at once.

00:08:55.697 --> 00:08:57.761
Here's a sobering number for you.

00:08:57.761 --> 00:09:04.210
Barclays estimates these tariffs could add about $400 to the cost of manufacturing each vehicle.

00:09:04.210 --> 00:09:06.570
That's if these tariffs stick around.

00:09:06.570 --> 00:09:09.359
And right now there's no end in sight.

00:09:09.359 --> 00:09:19.913
Tesla's so concerned they've actually sent a letter to the US Trade Representative's office, basically begging them not to accidentally kneecap American companies while trying to protect them.

00:09:20.274 --> 00:09:22.158
The tech sector isn't faring much better.

00:09:22.158 --> 00:09:23.682
Take Apple, for instance.

00:09:23.682 --> 00:09:30.595
They've got most of their manufacturing eggs in the China basket and their stock has already taken a 13% hit this year.

00:09:30.595 --> 00:09:40.336
According to industry expert Dan Ives, it would take Apple three to five years and a cool $20 billion just to move 15% of their production to the US.

00:09:40.336 --> 00:09:42.717
That's not exactly a quick fix.

00:09:42.717 --> 00:09:54.331
Construction companies are also feeling the squeeze, especially those dependent on materials like lumber, nails and sheet metal, and if you're watching the stock market well, it's not a pretty picture.

00:09:54.331 --> 00:09:59.662
The tech-heavy Nasdaq has taken a beating, dropping over 2,300 points.

00:09:59.662 --> 00:10:02.716
That's nearly 12% in just the last month.

00:10:02.716 --> 00:10:08.370
The S&P 500 is down about 250 points and the Dow has shed around 1,000 points.

00:10:08.370 --> 00:10:27.095
Now Treasury Secretary Scott Besson is playing it cool saying they're not worried about a little bit of volatility over three weeks, but when you're watching billions in market value evaporate, that kind of optimism might be a tough sell to investors watching their portfolios shrink.

00:10:27.095 --> 00:10:31.460
According to the New York Post's reporting, these aren't just temporary setbacks.

00:10:31.460 --> 00:10:36.653
We're looking at potentially long-term structural changes to how American companies do business.

00:10:36.653 --> 00:10:44.634
The question isn't just about who's losing money today, but how these companies will adapt to what could be the new normal in international trade.

00:10:45.039 --> 00:10:51.129
Despite the market turbulence and industry pushback, the administration is standing firm on its tariff strategy.

00:10:51.129 --> 00:10:57.167
Treasury Secretary Scott Besson's message has been crystal clear they're playing the long game here.

00:10:57.167 --> 00:11:08.590
We're focused on the real economy, he stated on CNBC, emphasizing that their goal isn't to manage short-term market swings but to create an environment for lasting economic gains.

00:11:08.590 --> 00:11:19.587
The White House's position is that these temporary market disruptions are a necessary price to pay for what they see as a much-needed rebalancing of global trade relationships.

00:11:19.587 --> 00:11:23.009
They're betting that the short-term pain will lead to long-term gains in domestic manufacturing and more equitable trade relationships.

00:11:23.009 --> 00:11:26.846
They're betting that the short-term pain will lead to long-term gains in domestic manufacturing and more equitable trade deals.

00:11:27.368 --> 00:11:31.927
The administration views these aggressive tariffs as leverage, not just punitive measures.

00:11:31.927 --> 00:11:40.240
According to Brandon Daniels, ceo of Exeger, these broad-based, significant tariffs are designed to bring all countries to the negotiating table.

00:11:40.240 --> 00:11:50.525
It's essentially a high-stakes game of economic chess, with the administration willing to weather immediate market volatility to achieve their broader strategic objectives.

00:11:50.525 --> 00:11:59.037
What's particularly interesting is how the administration is framing this as a comprehensive economic transformation rather than just a trade dispute.

00:11:59.037 --> 00:12:01.931
They're not just looking to adjust trade deficits.

00:12:01.931 --> 00:12:06.931
They're attempting to fundamentally reshape the US manufacturing base and supply chains.

00:12:06.931 --> 00:12:16.246
When you look at how domestic producers like Century Aluminum are already talking about a resurgence in American production, you can see the strategy starting to take shape.

00:12:16.847 --> 00:12:29.191
Even amid the market turmoil, the administration's message remains consistent they're not measuring success by daily stock market fluctuations but by long-term structural changes to the American economy.

00:12:29.191 --> 00:12:57.211
Whether this gamble pays off remains to be seen, but they're clearly all in on this approach, regardless of the immediate market reaction and that wraps up our deep dive into the unfolding tariff war story for this special weekend edition of Ranting Politics Headline Updates We've seen how these trade measures are creating clear winners and losers across multiple sectors, from the surge in domestic steel prices to the champagne panic buying on the East Coast.

00:12:57.211 --> 00:13:06.131
While the stock market might be taking a hit, the administration is betting big that this short-term volatility will lead to long-term gains for American industry.

00:13:06.131 --> 00:13:11.927
This story continues to develop by the hour and we'll be tracking all the latest developments for you.

00:13:11.927 --> 00:13:16.451
Our thanks to the New York Post for their comprehensive reporting on this complex issue.

00:13:16.894 --> 00:13:22.350
If you want to stay ahead of the curve on stories like this, make sure you're following us on X at Ranting RP.

00:13:22.350 --> 00:13:28.288
You can also catch our daily updates on YouTube, spotify, iheartradio and Apple Podcasts.

00:13:28.288 --> 00:13:33.947
For in-depth analysis and exclusive content, head over to RantingPoliticscom.

00:13:33.947 --> 00:13:40.087
This is JOC signing off and thank you, our loyal listeners, for choosing Ranting Politics Headline Updates.

00:13:40.087 --> 00:13:44.225
We'll be back soon with the updates you need to navigate these interesting times.

00:13:44.225 --> 00:13:48.994
Until then, stay tuned, stay informed and, as always, stay free.

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